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V-Lab

Baron First Principles ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

22.75%

decreased by 1.43%

1 Week

22.91%

decreased by 1.27%

1 Month

23.43%

decreased by 0.75%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Baron First Principles ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 15, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0392
4.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1604
4.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9561
135.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0456
1.59

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

15 days