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V-Lab

BMO Equal Weight US BKS Indx MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

18.97%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Week

20.69%

increased by 1.18%

1 Month

22.78%

increased by 3.27%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 09:25 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of BMO Equal Weight US BKS Indx MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 17, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0153
1.95*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6865
59.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2314
21.21***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.0840
0.21
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5612
0.22
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0380
0.01

Persistence:

0.817

Half-life:

3 days