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V-Lab

BMO Equal Weight US BKS Indx GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

20.70%

decreased by 1.19%

1 Week

21.73%

decreased by 0.16%

1 Month

23.77%

increased by 1.88%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:11 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of BMO Equal Weight US BKS Indx GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 17, 2014 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2758
20.65***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1454
17.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7491
81.15***

Persistence:

0.895

Half-life:

6 days