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V-Lab

BMO Equal Weight US BKS Indx MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

20.79%

decreased by 1.96%

1 Week

21.25%

decreased by 1.50%

1 Month

22.73%

decreased by 0.02%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 09:20 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of BMO Equal Weight US BKS Indx MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 17, 2014 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0824
11.77***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1848
32.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7899
163.04***

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days