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V-Lab

Invesco Bloomberg Enhanced Fallen Angels ETF MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

3.00%

decreased by 0.10%

1 Week

3.06%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Month

3.28%

increased by 0.18%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco Bloomberg Enhanced Fallen Angels ETF MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 15, 2007 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 2458 trading days (~9.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0007
1.95*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1210
10.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8787
60.25***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2458 days