Invesco Bloomberg Enhanced Fallen Angels ETF MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
3.00%
decreased by 0.10%
1 Week
3.06%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Month
3.28%
increased by 0.18%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 15, 2007 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 2458 trading days (~9.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0007 | 1.95* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1210 | 10.43*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8787 | 60.25*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2458 days
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