V-Lab
Invesco Bloomberg Enhanced Fallen Angels ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
4.06%
decreased by 0.30%
1 Week
4.18%
decreased by 0.18%
1 Month
4.63%
increased by 0.27%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 15, 2007 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 208% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.0129 | -6.69*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2366 | 26.35*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9853 | 640.63*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1206 | -17.12*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
47 days
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