Invesco Bloomberg Enhanced Fallen Angels ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 15th, 2026
1 Day
4.58%
decreased by 0.21%
1 Week
4.65%
decreased by 0.14%
1 Month
4.92%
increased by 0.13%
Analysis last updated: Friday, June 12, 2026 at 11:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0012 | 12.62 | |
| 0.0330 | 10.50 | |
| 0.8982 | 269.17 | |
| 0.1375 | 14.75 |
Estimation Period:
Nov 15, 2007 to Jun 12, 2026
Nov 15, 2007 to Jun 12, 2026
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