Invesco Bloomberg Enhanced Fallen Angels ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, May 26th, 2026
1 Day
6.80%
increased by 1.18%
1 Week
6.89%
increased by 1.27%
1 Month
7.24%
increased by 1.62%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0006 | -3.53 | |
| 0.1208 | 24.61 | |
| 0.8805 | 221.35 | |
| 0.1518 | 22.57 |
Estimation Period:
Nov 15, 2007 to May 22, 2026
Nov 15, 2007 to May 22, 2026
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