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V-Lab

T Rowe Price Active Core International Equity ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

15.51%

decreased by 0.28%

1 Week

15.79%

decreased by 0.00%

1 Month

16.71%

increased by 0.92%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of T Rowe Price Active Core International Equity ETF AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 11, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.44) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0322
5.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0598
5.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9134
67.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4397
21.39***

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

25 days