V-Lab
Calamos Nasdaq Autocallable Income ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
13.13%
decreased by 0.68%
1 Week
13.26%
decreased by 0.55%
1 Month
13.65%
decreased by 0.16%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 20, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.97) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0457 | 7.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9029 | 38.91*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.9651 | 10.98*** |
Persistence:
0.949
Half-life:
13 days
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