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V-Lab

Calamos Nasdaq Autocallable Income ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

13.51%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Week

13.53%

decreased by 0.52%

1 Month

13.56%

decreased by 0.49%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Calamos Nasdaq Autocallable Income ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 20, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 35.59 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7378
14.40***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0786
4.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9418
69.68***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

35.5918
0.20

Persistence:

0.942

Half-life:

12 days