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V-Lab

Calamos Nasdaq Autocallable Income ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

11.92%

decreased by 0.39%

1 Week

12.07%

decreased by 0.24%

1 Month

12.49%

increased by 0.18%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Calamos Nasdaq Autocallable Income ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 20, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 24.66 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6949
14.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0733
4.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9394
69.25***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

24.6577
0.26

Persistence:

0.939

Half-life:

11 days