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V-Lab

Calamos Nasdaq Autocallable Income ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

12.66%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Week

12.72%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Month

12.89%

decreased by 0.04%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Calamos Nasdaq Autocallable Income ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 20, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 51.54 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6940
15.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0770
5.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9449
75.79***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

51.5433
0.15

Persistence:

0.945

Half-life:

12 days