V-Lab
Calamos Nasdaq Autocallable Income ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
12.66%
decreased by 0.27%
1 Week
12.72%
decreased by 0.21%
1 Month
12.89%
decreased by 0.04%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 20, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 51.54 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6940 | 15.58*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0770 | 5.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9449 | 75.79*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 51.5433 | 0.15 |
Persistence:
0.945
Half-life:
12 days
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