V-Lab
iShares MSCI France ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
15.39%
decreased by 0.72%
1 Week
15.67%
decreased by 0.44%
1 Month
16.66%
increased by 0.55%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 2, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 64 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 64 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.55 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.5612 | 7.72*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0867 | 38.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9893 | 721.07*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 7.5472 | 7.53*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
64 days
Other iShares MSCI France ETF Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on ETFs