V-Lab
Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026
1 Day
17.40%
increased by 0.56%
1 Week
17.64%
increased by 0.80%
1 Month
18.12%
increased by 1.28%
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 28, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 18, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 13.42 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-lifev = 13.42 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.3667 | 1.54 |
| αARCH | 0.0635 | 0.98 |
| βGARCH | 0.8880 | 1.85* |
| νDF | 13.4158 | 0.04 |
0.888
Persistence6d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3667 | 1.54 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0635 | 0.98 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8880 | 1.85* |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 13.4158 | 0.04 |
Persistence:
0.888
Half-life:
6 days
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