Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

16.69%

decreased by 0.31%

1 Week

17.23%

increased by 0.23%

1 Month

18.20%

increased by 1.20%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 02:22 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 18, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 13.36 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-lifev = 13.36 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4270
1.69*
αARCH0.0663
1.01
βGARCH0.8716
1.37
νDF13.3562
0.04

0.872

Persistence

5d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4270
1.69*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0663
1.01
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8716
1.37
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

13.3562
0.04

Persistence:

0.872

Half-life:

5 days