Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
1 Day
26.52%
increased by 1.75%
1 Week
25.56%
increased by 0.79%
1 Month
23.22%
decreased by 1.55%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 18, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.18 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-lifev = 7.18 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 1.6179 | 0.56 |
| αscore | 0.0586 | 0.57 |
| βpersistence | 0.9074 | 2.11** |
| νDF | 7.1791 | 0.06 |
0.907
Persistence7d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 1.6179 | 0.56 |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.0586 | 0.57 |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9074 | 2.11** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 7.1791 | 0.06 |
Persistence:
0.907
Half-life:
7 days
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