Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026
1 Day
19.07%
decreased by 0.49%
1 Week
19.16%
decreased by 0.40%
1 Month
19.33%
decreased by 0.23%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 02:22 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 18, 2026 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 17.74 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5068 | 6.20*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0416 | 0.62 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8826 | 1.80* |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 17.7410 | 0.05 |
Persistence:
0.883
Half-life:
6 days
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