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V-Lab

Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

19.67%

decreased by 0.44%

1 Week

19.73%

decreased by 0.38%

1 Month

19.84%

decreased by 0.27%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 18, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 19.26 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5786
5.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0379
0.66
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8834
1.72*
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

19.2623
0.05

Persistence:

0.883

Half-life:

6 days