V-Lab
Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
19.34%
decreased by 1.93%
1 Week
19.42%
decreased by 1.85%
1 Month
19.55%
decreased by 1.72%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 02:29 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 18, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
The leverage effect is captured by the negative gamma (gamma = -0.2091), confirming that negative shocks increase volatility more than positive shocks of equal magnitude.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Asymmetry: Negative shocks have larger impact on volatility (leverage effect)
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0767 | 0.05 |
| αARCH | -0.0053 | -0.03 |
| βGARCH | 0.8191 | 1.27 |
| γleverage | -0.2091 | -2.21** |
0.819
Persistence3d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0767 | 0.05 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | -0.0053 | -0.03 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8191 | 1.27 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2091 | -2.21** |
Persistence:
0.819
Half-life:
3 days
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