Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF APARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026
1 Day
24.41%
increased by 0.07%
1 Week
24.57%
increased by 0.23%
1 Month
25.20%
increased by 0.86%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 18, 2026 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
σ
APARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0143 | 1.93* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0003 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9994 | 38.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 1.0000 | 0.00 |
δ power Transformation power | 1.9155 | 4.48*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
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