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V-Lab

Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

11.71%

decreased by 0.61%

1 Week

16.08%

increased by 3.76%

1 Month

58.67%

increased by 46.35%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 18, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 384 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7482
401.60***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
200.32***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.0431
0.37
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8451
0.33
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

384 days