Skip to main content
V-Lab

Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026

1 Day

21.74%

decreased by 1.83%

1 Week

25.45%

increased by 1.88%

1 Month

45.49%

increased by 21.92%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 02:22 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 18, 2026 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 161 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5000
7,575.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7457
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-5,813.95***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

9.9969
419.09***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4688
751.36***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5312
435.73***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

161 days