Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

30.35%

decreased by 1.36%

1 Week

32.44%

increased by 0.73%

1 Month

41.75%

increased by 10.04%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 18, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 189 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~189 daysLeverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8723
590.60***
γleverage0.2480
7.43***
λ₁tau intercept10.0000
17.48***
λ₂forecast adj.0.6196
11.82***
λ₃tau persistence0.3804
8.50***

0.996

Persistence

189d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8723
590.60***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2480
7.43***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
17.48***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6196
11.82***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.3804
8.50***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

189 days