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Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026

1 Day

16.66%

increased by 8.75%

1 Week

16.23%

increased by 8.32%

1 Month

14.67%

increased by 6.76%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 28, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

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Date Range:

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graph of Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 18, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 24-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.4917
βGARCH0.4042
γleverage0.1507
λ₁tau intercept0.0200
λ₂forecast adj.0.0007
λ₃tau persistence0.0018

0.971

Persistence

24d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

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ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4917
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4042
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1507
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0200
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0007
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0018

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

24 days