V-Lab
Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026
1 Day
16.66%
increased by 8.75%
1 Week
16.23%
increased by 8.32%
1 Month
14.67%
increased by 6.76%
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 28, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 18, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 24-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 26 | |
| αARCH | 0.4917 | |
| βGARCH | 0.4042 | |
| γleverage | 0.1507 | |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0200 | |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0007 | |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0018 |
0.971
Persistence24d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4917 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4042 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1507 | |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0200 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0007 | |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0018 |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
24 days
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