Global X Nasdaq-100 Income Edge ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026
1 Day
25.32%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
25.32%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
25.32%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 02:22 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 18, 2026 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7446 | 6.81*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0875 | 0.13 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.1915 | 0.03 |
Persistence:
0.088
Half-life:
0 days
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