iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, March 5th, 2026:2.11% (-0.08%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9076 | 3.29 | |
| 0.0721 | 6.43 | |
| 0.9044 | 66.43 | |
| -0.4438 | -2.31 | |
| 0.8748 | 3.01 | |
| -0.8754 | -3.65 | |
| 0.4846 | 2.25 | |
| 0.3261 | 1.99 | |
| -0.5924 | -3.59 | |
| 0.0015 | 0.01 | |
| 0.8466 | 3.62 | |
| -1.0269 | -3.56 | |
| 0.3504 | 1.14 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 26, 2002 to Feb 27, 2026
Jul 26, 2002 to Feb 27, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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