iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:1.21% (-0.03%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9062 | 3.26 | |
| 0.0725 | 6.44 | |
| 0.9044 | 66.67 | |
| -0.4486 | -2.31 | |
| 0.8816 | 2.99 | |
| -0.8758 | -3.60 | |
| 0.4768 | 2.19 | |
| 0.3368 | 2.04 | |
| -0.5955 | -3.56 | |
| -0.0054 | -0.03 | |
| 0.8504 | 3.54 | |
| -1.0096 | -3.40 | |
| 0.3182 | 1.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 26, 2002 to Feb 6, 2026
Jul 26, 2002 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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