iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Thursday, April 9th, 2026
1 Day
1.82%
increased by 0.32%
1 Week
217,430,579.27%
increased by 217,430,577.77%
1 Month
545,149,557,461,069,460,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
increased by 545,149,557,461,069,460,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, April 8, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 111 | ||
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 320.00 | |
| 0.0000 | -430.00 | |
| 3.5763 | 9.62 | |
| 0.6622 | 8.86 | |
| 0.0015 | 0.01 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 26, 2002 to Apr 2, 2026
Jul 26, 2002 to Apr 2, 2026
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