iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, April 29th, 2026
1 Day
-0.00%
decreased by 1.01%
1 Week
0.10%
decreased by 0.91%
1 Month
0.15%
decreased by 0.86%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, April 28, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 91 | ||
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.0001 | 530.00 | |
| -0.0001 | -860.00 | |
| 1.3528 | 13,527,580.00 | |
| 0.8647 | 8,647,380.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 26, 2002 to Apr 24, 2026
Jul 26, 2002 to Apr 24, 2026
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