iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, May 26th, 2026
1 Day
0.13%
decreased by 1.04%
1 Week
0.22%
decreased by 0.95%
1 Month
0.44%
decreased by 0.73%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 at 09:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 71 | ||
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 0.0002 | 7.36 | |
| 1.0000 | 621.50 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 26, 2002 to May 22, 2026
Jul 26, 2002 to May 22, 2026
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