iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, May 18th, 2026
1 Day
-0.00%
decreased by 0.73%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 15, 2026 at 09:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 86 | ||
| 1.0000 | 9,999,890.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 10.00 | |
| 6.8425 | 68,425,380.00 | |
| 0.3158 | 3,157,580.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 26, 2002 to May 15, 2026
Jul 26, 2002 to May 15, 2026
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