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V-Lab

KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

25.22%

decreased by 1.43%

1 Week

25.82%

decreased by 0.83%

1 Month

27.67%

increased by 1.02%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 17, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 18, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible. The volatility power δ = 0.95 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0868
8.50***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0783
9.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8946
88.53***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.7525
8.31***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.9548
6.44***

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

15 days