Skip to main content
V-Lab

Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

36.08%

decreased by 1.86%

1 Week

36.96%

decreased by 0.98%

1 Month

39.89%

increased by 1.95%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 09:06 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2008 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 0.98 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0951
24.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1014
27.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8895
267.21***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.8633
-17.45***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.9782
26.77***

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

22 days