Skip to main content
V-Lab

Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

43.86%

increased by 7.60%

1 Week

45.23%

increased by 8.97%

1 Month

49.09%

increased by 12.83%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:07 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2008 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2360
42.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8183
147.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2360
-40.93***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1124
3.64***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0580
4.43***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9253
53.40***

Persistence:

0.936

Half-life:

11 days