V-Lab
Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
43.86%
1 Week
45.23%
1 Month
49.09%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:07 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 18, 2008 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2360 | 42.48*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8183 | 147.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2360 | -40.93*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1124 | 3.64*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0580 | 4.43*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9253 | 53.40*** |
Persistence:
0.936
Half-life:
11 days
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