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V-Lab

Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 9th, 2026

1 Day

59.16%

decreased by 4.38%

1 Week

58.86%

decreased by 4.68%

1 Month

58.74%

decreased by 4.80%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 12:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

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graph of Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2008 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2352
42.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8184
146.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2352
-40.71***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1151
3.61***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0596
4.32***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9233
50.83***

Persistence:

0.936

Half-life:

10 days