V-Lab
Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
56.20%
1 Week
55.21%
1 Month
52.88%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 09:06 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 18, 2008 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2342 | 42.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8183 | 145.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2342 | -40.63*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1151 | 3.62*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0591 | 4.35*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9235 | 51.26*** |
Persistence:
0.935
Half-life:
10 days
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