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V-Lab

Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026

1 Day

56.20%

increased by 6.63%

1 Week

55.21%

increased by 5.64%

1 Month

52.88%

increased by 3.31%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 09:06 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

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2Y ·

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graph of Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2008 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2342
42.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8183
145.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2342
-40.63***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1151
3.62***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0591
4.35***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9235
51.26***

Persistence:

0.935

Half-life:

10 days