Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 9th, 2026
1 Day
59.16%
decreased by 4.38%
1 Week
58.86%
decreased by 4.68%
1 Month
58.74%
decreased by 4.80%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 12:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 18, 2008 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2352 | 42.35*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8184 | 146.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2352 | -40.71*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1151 | 3.61*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0596 | 4.32*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9233 | 50.83*** |
Persistence:
0.936
Half-life:
10 days
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