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Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

91.34%

decreased by 7.87%

1 Week

88.12%

decreased by 11.09%

1 Month

78.41%

decreased by 20.80%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 10:05 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2008 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.2353
11.41***
βGARCH0.8211
45.40***
γleverage-0.2353
-11.30***
λ₁tau intercept0.1122
1.25
λ₂forecast adj.0.0553
1.38
λ₃tau persistence0.9281
18.11***

0.939

Persistence

11d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2353
11.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8211
45.40***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2353
-11.30***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1122
1.25
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0553
1.38
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9281
18.11***

Persistence:

0.939

Half-life:

11 days