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V-Lab

Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 9th, 2026

1 Day

56.68%

decreased by 4.74%

1 Week

56.39%

decreased by 5.03%

1 Month

55.33%

decreased by 6.09%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 12:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2008 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 44 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 44 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.12 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

8.4595
5.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1033
24.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9845
314.55***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.1205
5.47***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

44 days