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Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

30.50%

increased by 0.66%

1 Week

31.09%

increased by 1.25%

1 Month

33.12%

increased by 3.28%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 09:20 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2008 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 43 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 43 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.05 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 43-day half-lifev = 7.05 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst8.2267
1.38
αARCH0.1030
6.07***
βGARCH0.9839
77.38***
νDF7.0453
1.38

0.984

Persistence

43d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

8.2267
1.38
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1030
6.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9839
77.38***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.0453
1.38

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

43 days