Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 9th, 2026
1 Day
56.68%
decreased by 4.74%
1 Week
56.39%
decreased by 5.03%
1 Month
55.33%
decreased by 6.09%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 12:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 18, 2008 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 44 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 44 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.12 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 8.4595 | 5.38*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1033 | 24.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9845 | 314.55*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 7.1205 | 5.47*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
44 days
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