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Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

43.59%

increased by 3.02%

1 Week

43.66%

increased by 3.09%

1 Month

43.93%

increased by 3.36%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:07 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2008 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 44 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 44 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.04 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

8.3620
5.40***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1027
24.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9843
311.39***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.0413
5.53***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

44 days