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V-Lab
V-Lab

Defiance Daily Target 2X Short HOOD ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Inactive

Last recorded values (Friday, August 28th, 2026):

1 Day

149.58%

1 Week

149.58%

1 Month

149.58%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 07:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Defiance Daily Target 2X Short HOOD ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 13, 2025 to Aug 27, 2026
Hessian SE

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 44 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 44 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.78 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 44-day half-lifev = 5.78 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst88.7860
0.05
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9845
0.28
νDF5.7849
0.03

0.984

Persistence

44d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

88.7860
0.05
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9845
0.28
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.7849
0.03

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

44 days