V-Lab
Defiance Daily Target 2X Short HOOD ETF MEM Volatility Analysis
Inactive
Last recorded values (Friday, August 28th, 2026):
1 Day
110.76%
1 Week
111.19%
1 Month
112.92%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 07:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 13, 2025 to Aug 27, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
μ
MEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1921 | 0.29 |
| αARCH | 0.1557 | 1.63 |
| βGARCH | 0.8443 | 13.81*** |
1.000
Persistence-
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1921 | 0.29 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1557 | 1.63 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8443 | 13.81*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
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