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V-Lab
V-Lab

Defiance Daily Target 2X Short HOOD ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Inactive

Last recorded values (Friday, August 28th, 2026):

1 Day

167.32%

1 Week

170.98%

1 Month

173.27%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 07:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Defiance Daily Target 2X Short HOOD ETF SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 13, 2025 to Aug 27, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9780
3.98***
αARCH0.1195
0.98
βGARCH0.4797
1.15
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ11.1464
0.35

0.599

Persistence

1d

Half-life
τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9780
3.98***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1195
0.98
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4797
1.15
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ11.1464
0.35

Persistence:

0.599

Half-life:

1 days