Defiance Daily Target 2X Short HOOD ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
163.68%
increased by 20.53%
1 Week
154.55%
increased by 11.40%
1 Month
149.57%
increased by 6.42%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 13, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.9984 | 3.58*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2977 | 5.38*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5523 | 4.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0261 | 0.49 |
Persistence:
0.552
Half-life:
1 days
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