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V-Lab

Ishares Msci World Index ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

10.85%

decreased by 0.57%

1 Week

11.10%

decreased by 0.32%

1 Month

11.87%

increased by 0.45%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:10 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ishares Msci World Index ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 24, 2009 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

The leverage effect is captured by the negative gamma (gamma = -0.1525), confirming that negative shocks increase volatility more than positive shocks of equal magnitude.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.0154
-3.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1450
25.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9486
269.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1525
-28.80***

Persistence:

0.949

Half-life:

13 days