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V-Lab

Ishares Msci World Index ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

11.95%

decreased by 0.57%

1 Week

12.13%

decreased by 0.39%

1 Month

12.62%

increased by 0.10%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 01:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ishares Msci World Index ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 24, 2009 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0395
18.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8482
211.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1960
17.02***

Persistence:

0.946

Half-life:

13 days