V-Lab
iShares Russell 2000 ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
14.74%
decreased by 0.56%
1 Week
15.01%
decreased by 0.29%
1 Month
16.00%
increased by 0.70%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 29, 2000 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0149 | 5.09*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1274 | 34.39*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9766 | 734.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1064 | -33.64*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
29 days
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