Skip to main content
V-Lab

iShares Russell 2000 ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

16.37%

decreased by 0.36%

1 Week

16.92%

increased by 0.19%

1 Month

18.48%

increased by 1.75%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares Russell 2000 ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 29, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8795
305.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1531
45.95***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0059
6.04***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0239
8.12***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9729
282.65***

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

15 days