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iShares Russell 2000 ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

19.77%

decreased by 0.90%

1 Week

19.67%

decreased by 1.00%

1 Month

19.41%

decreased by 1.26%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares Russell 2000 ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 29, 2000 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow76
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8799
87.63***
γleverage0.1521
11.40***
λ₁tau intercept0.0064
1.21
λ₂forecast adj.0.0254
1.82*
λ₃tau persistence0.9710
59.86***

0.956

Persistence

15d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8799
87.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1521
11.40***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0064
1.21
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0254
1.82*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9710
59.86***

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

15 days