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V-Lab

PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

1.55%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

1.58%

increased by 0.03%

1 Month

1.69%

increased by 0.14%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 23, 2014 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 126 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0002
4.05***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0633
11.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9312
164.32***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

126 days