PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
1.55%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
1.58%
increased by 0.03%
1 Month
1.69%
increased by 0.14%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 23, 2014 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 126 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0002 | 4.05*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0633 | 11.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9312 | 164.32*** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
126 days
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