V-Lab
PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
1.49%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Week
1.52%
increased by 0.01%
1 Month
1.63%
increased by 0.12%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 17, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 23, 2014 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 126 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0002 | 4.05*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0631 | 11.60*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9314 | 165.55*** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
126 days
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