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V-Lab

PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

4.11%

increased by 2.48%

1 Week

4.11%

increased by 2.48%

1 Month

4.11%

increased by 2.48%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 23, 2014 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 117 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0003
12.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1443
22.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8498
161.77***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0210
5.31***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

117 days