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PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

2.83%

increased by 0.70%

1 Week

2.84%

increased by 0.71%

1 Month

2.91%

increased by 0.78%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 23, 2014 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 111 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~111 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0003
3.20***
αARCH0.1430
5.64***
βGARCH0.8508
40.81***
γleverage0.0215
1.36

0.994

Persistence

111d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0003
3.20***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1430
5.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8508
40.81***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0215
1.36

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

111 days