Skip to main content
V-Lab

T-Rex 2X Long NVIDIA Daily Target ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

81.54%

decreased by 7.34%

1 Week

89.32%

increased by 0.44%

1 Month

99.22%

increased by 10.34%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of T-Rex 2X Long NVIDIA Daily Target ETF AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 19, 2023 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 2.53) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

6.5799
14.42***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2471
12.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5644
29.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

2.5278
13.99***

Persistence:

0.812

Half-life:

3 days