V-Lab
PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
2.27%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Week
2.28%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Month
2.35%
increased by 0.06%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 23, 2014 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 21-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | -0.1208 | -5.11*** |
| αARCH | 0.2666 | 5.41*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9668 | 172.33*** |
| γleverage | -0.0310 | -0.51 |
0.967
Persistence21d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.1208 | -5.11*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2666 | 5.41*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9668 | 172.33*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0310 | -0.51 |
Persistence:
0.967
Half-life:
21 days
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