V-Lab
PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
1.22%
decreased by 0.05%
1 Week
1.27%
increased by 0.00%
1 Month
1.46%
increased by 0.19%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 23, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 351 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0003 | 18.00*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1184 | 8.87*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8643 | 187.48*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0307 | 1.55 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
351 days
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