PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
1.63%
decreased by 0.05%
1 Week
1.67%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Month
1.82%
increased by 0.14%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 23, 2014 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 371 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0003 | 18.20*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1196 | 8.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8637 | 186.87*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0295 | 1.49 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
371 days
Other PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs