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V-Lab

PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

1.63%

decreased by 0.05%

1 Week

1.67%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Month

1.82%

increased by 0.14%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 23, 2014 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 371 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0003
18.20***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1196
8.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8637
186.87***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0295
1.49

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

371 days