PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
1.63%
decreased by 0.05%
1 Week
1.66%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Month
1.79%
increased by 0.11%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 23, 2014 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 172 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0003 | 17.67*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1285 | 23.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8675 | 201.37*** |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
172 days
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