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PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

2.10%

decreased by 0.05%

1 Week

2.11%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Month

2.14%

decreased by 0.01%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 23, 2014 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 60 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 60 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.19 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 60-day half-lifev = 6.19 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0233
2.23**
αARCH0.1069
10.68***
βGARCH0.9884
185.87***
νDF6.1946
3.57***

0.988

Persistence

60d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0233
2.23**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1069
10.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9884
185.87***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.1946
3.57***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

60 days