V-Lab
PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
1.19%
decreased by 0.07%
1 Week
1.23%
decreased by 0.03%
1 Month
1.37%
increased by 0.11%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 23, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 60 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 60 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.20 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0230 | 8.95*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1071 | 43.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9886 | 753.48*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 6.1980 | 14.45*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
60 days
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