V-Lab
PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
2.10%
decreased by 0.05%
1 Week
2.11%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Month
2.14%
decreased by 0.01%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 23, 2014 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 60 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 60 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.19 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 60-day half-lifev = 6.19 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0233 | 2.23** |
| αARCH | 0.1069 | 10.68*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9884 | 185.87*** |
| νDF | 6.1946 | 3.57*** |
0.988
Persistence60d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0233 | 2.23** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1069 | 10.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9884 | 185.87*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 6.1946 | 3.57*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
60 days
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