V-Lab
PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
2.62%
increased by 0.16%
1 Week
2.62%
increased by 0.16%
1 Month
2.60%
increased by 0.14%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 23, 2014 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 60 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 60 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.20 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 60-day half-lifev = 6.20 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0236 | 2.23** |
| αARCH | 0.1068 | 10.73*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9886 | 188.34*** |
| νDF | 6.1957 | 3.57*** |
0.989
Persistence60d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0236 | 2.23** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1068 | 10.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9886 | 188.34*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 6.1957 | 3.57*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
60 days
Other PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on ETFs