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V-Lab

PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

1.19%

decreased by 0.07%

1 Week

1.23%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Month

1.37%

increased by 0.11%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 23, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 60 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 60 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.20 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0230
8.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1071
43.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9886
753.48***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.1980
14.45***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

60 days