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V-Lab

PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

2.62%

increased by 0.16%

1 Week

2.62%

increased by 0.16%

1 Month

2.60%

increased by 0.14%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 23, 2014 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 60 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 60 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.20 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 60-day half-lifev = 6.20 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0236
2.23**
αARCH0.1068
10.73***
βGARCH0.9886
188.34***
νDF6.1957
3.57***

0.989

Persistence

60d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0236
2.23**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1068
10.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9886
188.34***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.1957
3.57***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

60 days