V-Lab
YieldMax TSLA Performance & Distribution Target 25 ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
46.95%
increased by 2.06%
1 Week
39.66%
decreased by 5.23%
1 Month
38.11%
decreased by 6.78%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 18, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.6145 | 2.68*** |
| αARCH | 0.1595 | 0.29 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| νDF | 6.9365 | 0.10 |
0.000
Persistence-
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.6145 | 2.68*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1595 | 0.29 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 6.9365 | 0.10 |
Persistence:
0.000
Half-life:
-
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