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V-Lab

YieldMax TSLA Performance & Distribution Target 25 ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

41.41%

increased by 4.47%

1 Week

37.08%

increased by 0.14%

1 Month

36.20%

decreased by 0.74%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 02:20 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

All

graph of YieldMax TSLA Performance & Distribution Target 25 ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 18, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.1198
2.82***
αARCH0.1706
0.35
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
νDF6.4699
0.13

0.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.1198
2.82***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1706
0.35
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.4699
0.13

Persistence:

0.000

Half-life:

-