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V-Lab
V-Lab

YieldMax TSLA Performance & Distribution Target 25 ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

46.95%

increased by 2.06%

1 Week

39.66%

decreased by 5.23%

1 Month

38.11%

decreased by 6.78%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of YieldMax TSLA Performance & Distribution Target 25 ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 18, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.6145
2.68***
αARCH0.1595
0.29
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
νDF6.9365
0.10

0.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.6145
2.68***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1595
0.29
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.9365
0.10

Persistence:

0.000

Half-life:

-