YieldMax TSLA Performance & Distribution Target 25 ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026
1 Day
41.41%
increased by 4.47%
1 Week
37.08%
increased by 0.14%
1 Month
36.20%
decreased by 0.74%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 02:20 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 18, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.1198 | 2.82*** |
| αARCH | 0.1706 | 0.35 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| νDF | 6.4699 | 0.13 |
0.000
Persistence-
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.1198 | 2.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1706 | 0.35 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 6.4699 | 0.13 |
Persistence:
0.000
Half-life:
-
Other YieldMax TSLA Performance & Distribution Target 25 ETF Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on ETFs