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V-Lab

YieldMax TSLA Performance & Distribution Target 25 ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

37.23%

increased by 1.47%

1 Week

35.83%

increased by 0.07%

1 Month

35.55%

decreased by 0.21%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of YieldMax TSLA Performance & Distribution Target 25 ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 18, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.9914
22.87***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1946
2.32**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

18.3564
0.28

Persistence:

0.000

Half-life:

-