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YieldMax TSLA Performance & Distribution Target 25 ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

33.79%

decreased by 7.73%

1 Week

36.06%

decreased by 5.46%

1 Month

36.48%

decreased by 5.04%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

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Date Range:

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graph of YieldMax TSLA Performance & Distribution Target 25 ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 18, 2025 to Sep 25, 2026
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.3188
2.81***
αARCH0.1687
0.33
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
νDF6.5940
0.12

0.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.3188
2.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1687
0.33
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.5940
0.12

Persistence:

0.000

Half-life:

-