V-Lab
PIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
1.42%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Week
1.45%
increased by 0.02%
1 Month
1.57%
increased by 0.14%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 23, 2014 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 115 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
AMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~115 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0002 | 1.31 |
| αARCH | 0.0900 | 1.51 |
| βGARCH | 0.9306 | 33.40*** |
| γleverage | -0.0532 | -0.79 |
0.994
Persistence115d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0002 | 1.31 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0900 | 1.51 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9306 | 33.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0532 | -0.79 |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
115 days
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