V-Lab
Bitwise XRP ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
29.88%
decreased by 0.73%
1 Week
35.44%
increased by 4.83%
1 Month
41.39%
increased by 10.78%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 20, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 116% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.6436 | 11.60*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2583 | 6.63*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3795 | 10.91*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2990 | 3.68*** |
Persistence:
0.787
Half-life:
3 days
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