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V-Lab

Bitwise XRP ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

57.28%

decreased by 5.06%

1 Week

65.54%

increased by 3.20%

1 Month

69.71%

increased by 7.37%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Bitwise XRP ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 20, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.66 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

20.0383
5.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1617
2.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5562
9.00***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.6607
1.54

Persistence:

0.556

Half-life:

1 days