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V-Lab

Bitwise XRP ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

52.92%

decreased by 15.27%

1 Week

62.92%

decreased by 5.27%

1 Month

66.67%

decreased by 1.52%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Bitwise XRP ETF AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 20, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 1.48) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

9.1442
16.92***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4142
5.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0352
6.24***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

1.4800
4.76***

Persistence:

0.449

Half-life:

1 days