V-Lab
Bitwise XRP ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
30.39%
increased by 0.09%
1 Week
35.27%
increased by 4.97%
1 Month
37.51%
increased by 7.21%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 20, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 81 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5000 | 108.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1861 | 49.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -111.93*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.3577 | 3.77*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4095 | 7.47*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.436
Half-life:
1 days
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