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V-Lab

Bitwise XRP ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

51.40%

decreased by 4.84%

1 Week

61.06%

increased by 4.82%

1 Month

71.06%

increased by 14.82%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Bitwise XRP ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 20, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 271% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
7.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1459
2.50**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4358
9.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3952
2.05**

Persistence:

0.779

Half-life:

3 days