V-Lab
Bitwise XRP ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
51.40%
decreased by 4.84%
1 Week
61.06%
increased by 4.82%
1 Month
71.06%
increased by 14.82%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 20, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 271% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 7.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1459 | 2.50** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4358 | 9.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3952 | 2.05** |
Persistence:
0.779
Half-life:
3 days
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