V-Lab
Bitwise XRP ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
48.35%
decreased by 1.43%
1 Week
59.09%
increased by 9.31%
1 Month
69.63%
increased by 19.85%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 20, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 8.49*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1660 | 2.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4066 | 8.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3970 | 1.89* |
Persistence:
0.771
Half-life:
3 days
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