Leverage Shares 2x Long IREN Daily ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
225.07%
increased by 9.29%
1 Week
226.58%
increased by 10.80%
1 Month
231.87%
increased by 16.09%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 16, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 38 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 38 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.27** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1689 | 4.22*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8051 | 46.87*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0160 | 0.26 |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
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