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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2x Long IREN Daily ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

245.40%

increased by 4.44%

1 Week

221.89%

decreased by 19.07%

1 Month

193.59%

decreased by 47.37%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2x Long IREN Daily ETF APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 16, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 35% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.63 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
1.08
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1778
9.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6416
17.70***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2314
5.06***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.6332
1.73*

Persistence:

0.784

Half-life:

3 days