Skip to main content
V-Lab

SavvyLong 2X Cameco ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

166.48%

increased by 26.17%

1 Week

174.83%

increased by 34.52%

1 Month

198.61%

increased by 58.30%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 10:29 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of SavvyLong 2X Cameco ETF APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 27, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 112% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 1.06 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
1.16
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2492
8.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7449
31.79***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3404
-6.20***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.0616
2.20**

Persistence:

0.945

Half-life:

12 days