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V-Lab

Hartford Alpha Capture Value ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

9.29%

increased by 0.23%

1 Week

9.01%

decreased by 0.05%

1 Month

8.12%

decreased by 0.94%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 02:14 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Hartford Alpha Capture Value ETF APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 16, 2023 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 19% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0163
5.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1623
13.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8377
66.68***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1696
4.03***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.5000
7.05***

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

23 days