Leverage Shares 2X Long CNC Daily ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
61.50%
decreased by 4.00%
1 Week
63.52%
decreased by 1.98%
1 Month
65.32%
decreased by 0.18%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. The volatility power δ = 0.85 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0000 | 2.20** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1075 | 3.32*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6175 | 8.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2835 | 1.11 |
δ power Transformation power | 0.8504 | 1.96** |
Persistence:
0.702
Half-life:
2 days
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